Identification of Systematic Underestimation (Bias) of Case Durations during Case Scheduling Would Not Markedly Reduce Overutilized Operating Room Time¶
Dexter, F., & Macario, A. (2007). Identification of Systematic Underestimation (Bias) of Case Durations during Case Scheduling Would Not Markedly Reduce Overutilized Operating Room Time. Journal of Clinical Anesthesia, 19(3), 198-203.
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Primes¶
- Planning Fallacy
- In hospital operating-room scheduling, surgeons' inside-view estimates of procedure duration run systematically low, so booking systems now draw per-surgeon, per-procedure empirical distributions — an outside-view reference replacing the simulation entirely.
This sourceDocuments systematic underestimation of surgical case durations by surgeon-schedulers, motivating empirically calibrated per-surgeon/per-procedure duration distributions in OR scheduling.
- In hospital operating-room scheduling, surgeons' inside-view estimates of procedure duration run systematically low, so booking systems now draw per-surgeon, per-procedure empirical distributions — an outside-view reference replacing the simulation entirely.
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