Calibration of probabilities

Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1977). Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art. Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs.

Type

Book chapter

Intellectual base

Review or monograph

Year

1977

DOI

10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_19

ISBN

9789401012782

Link

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_19

Cited from

philosophy

Cited by

1 citation across 1 artifact.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Epistemic Humility
  • Epistemic humility makes that gap visible and salient, turning a blind spot into an active consideration.

    This sourceD. Reidel. Foundational review documenting the systematic gap between subjective confidence and objective accuracy. SUPPORTS marker 218 (people hold convictions with confidence exceeding evidential warrant; the knowledge-warrant gap).

Verification

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