A new vector partition of the probability score

Murphy, A. H. (1973). A new vector partition of the probability score. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 12(4), 595-600.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

1973

DOI

10.1175/1520-0450(1973)012

Link

https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1973)012%3C0595:ANVPOT%3E2.0.CO;2

Cited from

philosophy, statistics_experimental_design

Cited by

3 citations across 3 artifacts.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Calibration
  • Murphy (1973) made this distinction rigorous by decomposing the Brier score into reliability, resolution, and uncertainty components, separating threshold-based validity from continuous calibration.

    This sourceDecomposes the Brier (probability) score into uncertainty, reliability (calibration), and resolution components, formalizing the distinction between threshold-based validation and continuous calibration assessment.

• Foreseeing (Prediction)
  • Modern ML systems increasingly use probabilistic forecast evaluation

    This sourceDecomposes the Brier score into reliability (calibration), resolution, and uncertainty components; supports the T6 use of probabilistic forecast evaluation to track calibration and discrimination continuously.

Domain-specific

• Scoring Rule
  • Murphy's Brier-score partition separates uncertainty, reliability, and resolution components, making the source of performance visible.

Verification

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Links previously used in the corpus

Before the registry existed this work was also linked 1 other way.

• https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1973)012<0595:ANVPOT>2.0.CO;2 ×2

Registry ID ref:a71bbe3e88ed · see in the full table