An Application of the Poisson Distribution¶
Clarke, R. D. (1946). An Application of the Poisson Distribution. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 72(3).
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Primes¶
- Clustering Illusion
- Finance — chart patterns are detected at high rates in series indistinguishable from random walks, and pattern-based trading rarely outperforms chance after multiple-comparisons correction. Military analysis — the canonical case is the WWII bombing map of London, where a Poisson fit to grid cells could not reject randomness despite perceived targeting.
This sourceFits a Poisson distribution to WWII flying-bomb impacts on grid squares of South London, showing the clumped map is consistent with random scatter, not targeting.
- Finance — chart patterns are detected at high rates in series indistinguishable from random walks, and pattern-based trading rarely outperforms chance after multiple-comparisons correction. Military analysis — the canonical case is the WWII bombing map of London, where a Poisson fit to grid cells could not reject randomness despite perceived targeting.
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Registry ID ref:b2f9e211f2c1 · see in the full table