Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis¶
Allison, G., & Zelikow, P. (1962). Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis.
Cited by¶
5 citations across 5 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Brinkmanship
- In crisis diplomacy the Cuban Missile Crisis is canonical: a naval quarantine raised the probability of a shooting incident, the commitment to the quarantine made backing down costly, and the eventual withdrawal was a yield to the probability slope rather than to a threat of certain strike.
This sourceDefinitive analysis of the Cuban Missile Crisis, documenting the naval quarantine as a probability-ramping commitment, the ceded control to ships/submarines/local commanders, the residual risk of uncontrolled escalation, and the face-saving reciprocal off-ramp.
- In crisis diplomacy the Cuban Missile Crisis is canonical: a naval quarantine raised the probability of a shooting incident, the commitment to the quarantine made backing down costly, and the eventual withdrawal was a yield to the probability slope rather than to a threat of certain strike.
- Coercion
- Compellence
Domain-specific¶
- Chicken Game
- Kennedy's naval "quarantine" and public ultimatum functioned as a visible, hard-to-reverse commitment that raised the cost of U.S. retreat, while Khrushchev's eventual withdrawal of the missiles — in exchange for a public U.S. no-invasion pledge and a quiet removal of U.S. Jupiter missiles from Turkey — was the opponent's swerve
This sourceThe documentary basis for the historical particulars — the quarantine and ultimatum, the American noninvasion pledge, and the quiet Jupiter-missile withdrawal from Turkey, which the second edition establishes from the Kennedy tapes.
Supported in partVerified against the source
- Kennedy's naval "quarantine" and public ultimatum functioned as a visible, hard-to-reverse commitment that raised the cost of U.S. retreat, while Khrushchev's eventual withdrawal of the missiles — in exchange for a public U.S. no-invasion pledge and a quiet removal of U.S. Jupiter missiles from Turkey — was the opponent's swerve
- Face Management
- Publicly, the Soviet Union agreed to withdraw its missiles from Cuba in exchange for a US pledge not to invade the island
This sourceThe standard study of the crisis, whose narrative records the public no-invasion pledge and the withdrawal of the Soviet missiles.
Supported in partVerified against the work's full text
“the withdrawal of [soviet] missiles from [cuba] 132 inside the [soviet] [union]. inside the united”
- Publicly, the Soviet Union agreed to withdraw its missiles from Cuba in exchange for a US pledge not to invade the island
Verification¶
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