A Treatise on Probability¶
Keynes, J. M. (1921). A Treatise on Probability.
Cited by¶
2 citations across 2 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Black Swan (High-Impact, Low-Probability Events)
- The term "black swan" in its modern sense was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Fooled by Randomness (2001) and especially The Black Swan (2007), drawing on the philosophical usage of "black swan" as an example of the problem of induction (Hume via Popper and others; Keynes 1921
This sourceThe first systematic theory of logical/epistemic probability and of induction's foundations, distinguishing measurable from non-measurable uncertainty. Cited inline (tier B) in Broad Use ('Keynes 1921 on probability foundations'); verified and linked. [Citation-fix: this key is cited in the body but was MISSING from the prime's References section — definition supplied here.]
- The term "black swan" in its modern sense was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Fooled by Randomness (2001) and especially The Black Swan (2007), drawing on the philosophical usage of "black swan" as an example of the problem of induction (Hume via Popper and others; Keynes 1921
- Uncertainty
- a future event, a system parameter, a causal mechanism, a state of the world — what is being uncertain about; (2) the evidence or information state
This sourceMacmillan. Keynes logical interpretation of probability foundational.
- a future event, a system parameter, a causal mechanism, a state of the world — what is being uncertain about; (2) the evidence or information state
Verification¶
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