Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States¶
Cramer, E. Y., Ray, E. L., Lopez, V. K., Bracher, J., Brennen, A., Castro Rivadeneira, A. J., Gerding, A., et al. (2022). Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(15).
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Mechanisms¶
- Judgment Aggregation Dashboard
- A regional infectious-disease team pools weekly forecasts from a dozen modeling groups for hospital admissions four weeks out, and the coordinators need to see the ensemble without flattening it — the way real forecast hubs present combined predictions.
This sourceReports a real forecast hub that combined forecasts from participating models into an ensemble prediction.
- A regional infectious-disease team pools weekly forecasts from a dozen modeling groups for hospital admissions four weeks out, and the coordinators need to see the ensemble without flattening it — the way real forecast hubs present combined predictions.
Verification¶
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