Long-Term Time-Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)¶
Field, E. H., Biasi, G. P., Bird, P., Dawson, T. E., Felzer, K. R., Jackson, D. D., Johnson, K. M., et al. (2015). Long-Term Time-Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Domain-specific¶
- Seismic Gap
- Despite this empirical fragility, gap reasoning remains an organizing framework in national probabilistic seismic-hazard assessments — including Japan's government hazard maps and the UCERF models for California — because even contested renewal-process logic provides a structure for incorporating elapsed time into hazard estimates that purely time-independent Poisson models cannot supply
Supported in partVerified against the source
- Despite this empirical fragility, gap reasoning remains an organizing framework in national probabilistic seismic-hazard assessments — including Japan's government hazard maps and the UCERF models for California — because even contested renewal-process logic provides a structure for incorporating elapsed time into hazard estimates that purely time-independent Poisson models cannot supply
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