Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Suggests Epidemic Control with Digital Contact Tracing.¶
Ferretti, L., Wymant, C., Kendall, M., Zhao, L., Nurtay, A., Abeler-Dörner, L., Parker, M., et al. (2020). Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Suggests Epidemic Control with Digital Contact Tracing. Science, 368(6491).
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Primes¶
- Tempo Mismatch
- In disease surveillance a response cycle that lags epidemic doubling time applies containment to a population already past the stage it was designed for.
This sourceSARS-CoV-2 spreads too fast for manual contact tracing to contain; control requires the tracing-and-isolation cycle to be faster than the epidemic's doubling time — a containment cycle lagging the doubling time applies measures to a population already past the targeted stage.
- In disease surveillance a response cycle that lags epidemic doubling time applies containment to a population already past the stage it was designed for.
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