Outcome Bias in Decision Evaluation¶
Baron, J., & Hershey, J. C. (1988). Outcome Bias in Decision Evaluation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 54(4), 569-579.
Cited by¶
4 citations across 4 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Adaptive Redirection
- Classification here runs on the relation among course, evidence, options and retained value, not on what happened next.
This sourceEstablishes experimentally that judgements of decision quality are contaminated by knowledge of the outcome, so the quality of a decision and the quality of its result are separate objects of evaluation.
- Classification here runs on the relation among course, evidence, options and retained value, not on what happened next.
- Decision
- Decision quality (the reasoning process, the information used, the decision rules applied) is distinct from outcome quality (what actually occurred), a separation Baron and Hershey (1988) experimentally demonstrated in their study of outcome bias in decision evaluation.
This sourceExperimentally shows people rate identical decisions more favorably when outcomes are good, dissociating decision quality from outcome quality.
- Decision quality (the reasoning process, the information used, the decision rules applied) is distinct from outcome quality (what actually occurred), a separation Baron and Hershey (1988) experimentally demonstrated in their study of outcome bias in decision evaluation.
Mechanisms¶
- Decision-Process Review
- Its defining commitment is the separation of process from outcome
This sourceSeparates decision quality from outcome quality and shows that evaluators judge the same decision differently after good and bad outcomes.
- Its defining commitment is the separation of process from outcome
- Forgone-Alternative Decision Journal
- Its strength is defeating outcome bias and hindsight at the source — a tamper-proof, decision-time record is the standard defense against judging a past choice by how it happened to turn out
This sourceShows that outcome knowledge biases evaluations of a prior decision's quality.
- Its strength is defeating outcome bias and hindsight at the source — a tamper-proof, decision-time record is the standard defense against judging a past choice by how it happened to turn out
Verification¶
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