Calibration of Probabilities¶
Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1982). Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Mechanisms¶
- Claim-Confidence Warrant Review
- Done well it is a calibration exercise: it narrows the gap between how sure people sound and how sure the evidence permits.
This sourceTreats stated probabilities as a calibration problem by comparing expressed confidence with observed correctness.
- Done well it is a calibration exercise: it narrows the gap between how sure people sound and how sure the evidence permits.
Verification¶
Does it exist? Confirmed. This work's DOI resolves to a registered record, which fixes its identity. That is all it fixes.
Does it back the claim? Not recorded. The single citation of this work carries no recorded support check.
Support is checked per citation rather than per work — the same source can be cited soundly in one article and wrongly in another. Per-citation recording began recently, so a citation with no recorded check is a gap in the record rather than evidence it went unchecked.
See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:e8a00b745fad · see in the full table