Calibration of Probabilities¶
Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1982). Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Mechanisms¶
- Claim-Confidence Warrant Review
- Done well it is a calibration exercise: it narrows the gap between how sure people sound and how sure the evidence permits.
This sourceTreats stated probabilities as a calibration problem by comparing expressed confidence with observed correctness.
- Done well it is a calibration exercise: it narrows the gap between how sure people sound and how sure the evidence permits.
Verification¶
This reference passed the adversarial substantiation pipeline: it was checked to exist and to support the claim it is attached to. See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:e8a00b745fad · see in the full table